Industry Studies

MSA 'VendScape' Data Tracks Alternative Beverage Sales Growth

Depending on one's age, one probably remembers summer vacation trips in the family car, Management Science Associates' Dawn-Michele Moros pointed out. Long spells of tedium were relieved by stops in rest areas which almost always featured a cold drink vending machine.

Those who had this experience in the 1940s and '50s remember machines delivering (or allowing the user to retrieve) glass bottles, and recall opening them with a tool attached to the machine front. For more than three decades thereafter, the traveler was refreshed by a cold drink in a 12-fl.oz. can. Whatever the package, though, the choices were limited – "You got a soft drink, or nothing at all," Moros recalled.

Nowadays, those who have graduated from station wagon passengers to sport utility vehicle drivers with their own passengers aboard find a much more diverse selection of vended cold drinks at the roadside rest stop. The familiar colas are still there, and some new ones have been added – and they often are provided in 20-fl.oz. PET bottles. But we also have "sports drinks" (formerly enjoyed exclusively by athletes), bottled water (those of a certain age cannot quite get used to buying packaged water), teas in a bewildering assortment of flavors and styles, juices and juice drinks, and a whole new range of "energy drinks" that may boost our energy, enhance our mood or even sharpen our memory. There are so many choices that it may be difficult to get back on the road, the MSA researcher quipped.
Moros explained that, in an attempt to impose some order on this proliferation of beverages, the industry has defined categories to describe them: soft drinks, tea, juice/juice drinks, sports drinks, milk/dairy, water, and miscellaneous drinks. Beverages once available only to professional athletes – isotonics, or sports drinks – and to the elite (small-package bottled water) now are offered to vending machine shoppers in all walks of life, and in locations of all sorts. Of course, specific categories may fit especially well in a particular kind of location.

Over the past 10 years, traditional soft drinks have shown less growth than "alternative" beverages, although the classic soft drinks like Coca-Cola and Pepsi-Cola continue to dominate the cold drink market. What are these alternative beverage choices, and how have consumer preferences changed?

Chart 1 shows the percentage of packaged cold beverage machines offering soft drinks, water, juice/juice drinks, tea and sports drinks, as those percentages evolved over eleven quarters (13-week periods) between May, 2000 and February, 2003. It shows that the percentage of machines stocked with alternative beverages has been increasing.

Although soft drinks still have the greatest distribution, bottled water (in particular) has grown steadily over the last two years, from a distribution of less than 10% to over 50% in 2003. Alternative beverages now account for nearly 20% of total cold drink consumption (see Chart 2).

Of course, purchase preference varies
among the alternative beverage categories. Water and juices/juice drinks, with shares of 32.36% and 33.35% respectively, currently are the most popular alternatives (see Chart 3).

Based on the "VendScape" sample of 38 operators and more than 27,000 active cold beverage machines, Moros pointed out, the share increase for the alternative beverage group is driven by the number of new brands and the increased number of machines offering these products (see Chart 4). During the past two years, bottled water's share-of-beverage grew by 11%, and this category has been the catalyst for the growth of alternative beverages in vending.

In turn, the continuing growth of cold drink vending overall has been affected by the ever-widening array of choices offered to the consumer through other retail channels. In 2001, there were 52 new brands introduced to the vending market; 35 of them were in the juice/juice drink category. In 2002, 66 new brands were introduced; nearly two-thirds of them were soft drinks.

While consumers enjoy more choices today, and preferences have varied over the past few years, water is the only alternative beverage that has maintained its share growth. Among other things, this tells us that today's vacationing motorists are most likely to purchase either a soft drink or water.

Information on "VendScape" data may be had by calling MSA's Dawn-Michele Moros at (412) 362-2000.

"VendScape" is a trademark of Validata Computer & Research (Montgomery, AL).
Published February 2003 © Copyright 2003 Vending Times Inc.; Management Science Associates, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Vendscape is a trademark of the Validata Computer and Reserach Corp.

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